arXiv AI

Simulating Macroeconomic Expectations in Survey Experiments with LLM-based Economic Agents

arXiv:2505. 17648v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce a framework for simulating macroeconomic expectations in survey experiments using LLM-based economic agents (LLM Agents).

arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 16

Towards Detecting AI-Assisted Responses in Online Surveys

The paper introduces ASURRE, a benchmark dataset for detecting AI‑assisted responses in online surveys. It evaluates how different LLM usage strategies—ranging from full generation to persona‑grounded agentic completion—affect the performance of existing machine‑generated text detectors. The study finds that while naive AI usage is easily detected, more sophisticated persona‑grounded agents approach chance performance, yet still leave identifiable behavioural traces that can be aggregated to improve detection.

By Qizhou Wang, Bogdan Mamaev, Christopher Leckie
arXiv AI
Sep 16

Do LLMs Have Values? A Quantitative Analysis and Alignment Framework for Values in Large Language Models

The paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) possess intrinsic value systems and how to quantify and align them. By projecting responses from 106 LLMs and 95,000 human survey profiles into a shared sociological space, the authors confirm that LLMs do have values, though these values form a concentrated, idealized core rather than mirroring human diversity. They introduce the Prior-Environment-Cognition (PEC) framework to mathematically define value expression and propose an adaptive Alignment Prescription that identifies minimal interventions—ranging from prompts to targeted parameter updates—to steer LLM values efficiently without harming general performance.

By Keqing Zhang, Jingyu Chen, Yufan Liu, Yongqiang Zhu, Nai Ding, Lai Jiang, Congyan Lang, Bing Li, Weiming Hu
arXiv AI
2d ago

Evaluating LLM-Generated Preference Distributions

The paper evaluates how Large Language Models generate preference distributions for air travel, restaurants, and consumer products. It finds that while each model produces self-coherent outcomes that stabilize quickly, there is significant disagreement across different model families and scales, with little consensus even on the most probable preferences. These discrepancies persist across various decoding strategies, temperature settings, and prompt variations, indicating that the model choice itself has a larger impact than prompt wording.

By Fan Huang, Minsuk Kim, C. Tyler Diggans, Filippo Radicchi
arXiv AI
Aug 5

Emulate or Estimate? The Divergent Strengths of Base and Post-Trained Language Models for Opinion Simulation

arXiv:2608. 03044v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models are increasingly used to simulate human opinions, but prior work reports conflicting results: some studies find promising alignment with human survey data, while others find persona collapse and weak demographic sensitivity.

By Seth Grief-Albert, Jessica Bo, Difan Jiao, Ashton Anderson
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

Adaptive Querying with AI Persona Priors

arXiv:2605. 00696v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study adaptive querying for learning user-dependent quantities of interest, such as responses to held-out items and psychometric indicators, within tight query budgets.

By Kaizheng Wang, Yuhang Wu, Assaf Zeevi