arXiv AI

Simulating Macroeconomic Expectations in Survey Experiments with LLM-based Economic Agents

arXiv:2505. 17648v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce a framework for simulating macroeconomic expectations in survey experiments using LLM-based economic agents (LLM Agents).

arXiv AI
Aug 5

Emulate or Estimate? The Divergent Strengths of Base and Post-Trained Language Models for Opinion Simulation

arXiv:2608. 03044v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models are increasingly used to simulate human opinions, but prior work reports conflicting results: some studies find promising alignment with human survey data, while others find persona collapse and weak demographic sensitivity.

By Seth Grief-Albert, Jessica Bo, Difan Jiao, Ashton Anderson
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

Adaptive Querying with AI Persona Priors

arXiv:2605. 00696v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study adaptive querying for learning user-dependent quantities of interest, such as responses to held-out items and psychometric indicators, within tight query budgets.

By Kaizheng Wang, Yuhang Wu, Assaf Zeevi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

Beyond the Mean: Three-Axis Fidelity for Aligning LLM-Based Survey Simulators from Small Pilot Data

arXiv:2606. 28963v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate social survey responses, yet their outputs exhibit systematic biases: marginal distributions are skewed, response variance is poorly calibrated, and predictor-outcome relationships are attenuated.

By Eun Cheol Choi, Youngrae Kim, Prabhu Pugalenthi, Hong-En Chen, Bo-Ruei Huang
arXiv AI
Jul 17

Step-Level Preference Learning for Generative Agents in Social Simulations

arXiv:2607. 14485v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language model (LLM)-based generative agents simulate human behavior through long-horizon decision-making processes that comprise intermediate steps such as planning, memory retrieval, reflection, and action selection.

By Wenchang Gao, Pingyue Sheng, Lanlan Qiu, Yunfei Ma, Jian Zhao, Baicheng Chen, Kangda Wang, Yuyang Tian, Shunqiang Mao, Tianxing He