arXiv AI

Bayesian control for coding agents

arXiv:2606. 24453v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern coding agents pair LLM generators with various tools, including cheap diagnostics and expensive verifiers.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 7

How to Speculate about Uncertainty in Agentic Coding? A Draft-Model Gate Method

The paper introduces Speculative Uncertainty (SU), a technique that infers a failure likelihood for black‑box LLM agents by evaluating their generated token sequences with a lightweight draft model, without needing internal model details. SU extracts phase‑aware features from reasoning and action spans, calibrates them against verifiable outcomes, and produces a failure‑likelihood score usable by downstream policies. Applying a pre‑execution veto gate based on SU to software‑engineering agents such as Qwen3‑Coder‑480B and Claude 3.5 Sonnet reduced execution error rates by 6‑8 percentage points and token costs by 14‑19 %, while maintaining performance on out‑of‑distribution benchmarks and across different agent models.

By Konstantin Grotov, Valentin Malykh
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 3

Can LLM-as-a-Judge Reliably Verify Rubrics in Agentic Scenarios?

The paper introduces RuVerBench, a benchmark with 2,458 instances for evaluating the reliability of Large Language Models acting as judges (LaaJ) in verifying rubric compliance within agentic scenarios such as deep research and agentic coding. It systematically meta‑evaluates frontier LLMs, revealing that even the most advanced models perform well yet still produce substantial noise. The study also examines how prompt design, batching, and majority voting affect verification accuracy, noting that weaker models are more prompt‑sensitive, batched verification trades accuracy for efficiency, and majority voting offers diminishing returns.

By Yangda Peng, Yunjia Qi, Haotian Xia, Guanzhong He, Xintong Shi, Richeng Xuan, Songyuanyi Lu, Yixian Liu, Zhichao Hu, Yuhong Liu, Hao Peng
arXiv AI
Jul 1

BayesBench: Evaluating LLM Belief Trajectories Under Multi-Turn Evidence Accumulation

arXiv:2606. 30850v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are typically deployed in multi-turn conversations, where each turn provides new evidence that should reduce epistemic uncertainty about their environment.

By Ankur Samanta, Akshayaa Magesh, Tal Lancewicki, Ayush Jain, Youliang Yu, Paul Sajda, Kaveh Hassani, Aditya Modi, Daniel R. Jiang, Yonathan Efroni
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 5

Measuring Harness-Induced Belief Divergence in Multi-Step LLM Agents

Software-agent benchmarks usually report whether an agent solves a task, but the agent reaches that outcome through a harness that controls what it sees, which actions it can take, which failures are repaired, which states are verified, and which evidence is logged. We show that this harness can change the agent's multi-step beliefs even when the task, environment, and base LLM are fixed.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Latent Programming Horizons in Coding Agents

arXiv:2607. 05188v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A coding agent solving a software-engineering task spends dozens of steps reasoning, editing code, and running tests, yet little is known about what the underlying language model internally represents about the program it is working on.

By Andr\'e Silva, Han Tu, Martin Monperrus