arXiv Machine Learning

ScoreStop: Gradient-based early stopping using functional score tests

arXiv:2606. 02740v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Gradient boosted decision trees require a stopping rule to avoid overfitting.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 11

MARS: Margin-Adversarial Risk-controlled Stopping for Parallel LLM Test-time Scaling

Parallel test-time scaling samples many reasoning traces and majority-votes their answers, improving LLM accuracy but requiring traces to run to completion, incurring substantial computational overhead. We observe that probing partial traces at intermediate checkpoints can extract current answers without disrupting generation, revealing an evolving aggregate vote.

arXiv AI
5d ago

Not All Preferences Deserve Gradients: Understanding Gradient Utility in Offline Reasoning Alignment

The paper argues that in offline preference optimization for reasoning models, applying gradients uniformly to all chosen–rejected pairs is inefficient and can be harmful. It introduces the concept of gradient utility, showing that a pair’s contribution depends on both informativeness and stability, and that high-gradient samples often lie in high‑curvature regions, causing noisy updates. To address this, the authors propose SAGE (Stability‑Aware Gradient Efficiency), which maintains difficulty‑stratified candidate pools and selects only high‑utility pairs for backpropagation, resulting in smoother optimization and better performance on mathematical reasoning benchmarks.

By Hui Wu, Hengyi Cai, Jinman Zhao, Xinran Chen, Ziheng Li, Zhejun Zhao, Shuaiqiang Wang, Yuchen Li, Dawei Yin
arXiv AI
Aug 28

Diagnosing Conformal Prediction Failures Under Distribution Shift: A COVID-19 Case Study

The paper introduces SHAP concentration as a pre‑deployment diagnostic for detecting when conformal prediction will fail under distribution shift, specifically in gradient‑boosted classifiers. Using a COVID‑19 supply‑chain case study, the authors show that higher feature‑importance concentration correlates with larger drops in coverage, while standard shift detectors cannot differentiate between catastrophic and robust outcomes. The diagnostic is validated on additional datasets, and a formal theorem links concentration to worsening conformity‑score bounds, though it does not capture global‑sensitivity failures in neural networks.

By Chorok Lee