arXiv Machine Learning

Uncertainty propagation in auto-regressive random neural network models

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 1

Neural Network-Based Estimation of Time-Dependent Parameters in AR(p) Processes

We investigate a forecasting framework based on a simple discrete-time dynamic model with coefficients varying in time. The parameters of the model are recovered within a deep learning framework, which makes it possible to retain a transparent parametric structure while simultaneously accounting for complex and nonstationary patterns in the observed phenomenon.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 4

Drift-Diffusion Matching: Embedding dynamics in latent manifolds of asymmetric neural networks

arXiv:2602. 14885v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) provide a theoretical framework for understanding computation in biological neural circuits, yet classical results, such as Hopfield's model of associative memory, rely on symmetric connectivity that restricts network dynamics to gradient-like flows.

By Ram\'on Nartallo-Kaluarachchi, Renaud Lambiotte, Alain Goriely
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 16

Stable by Construction: Variational Latent Markov Operators for Long-Horizon PDE Prediction

The paper introduces a variational framework called VAMO that incorporates latent Markov dynamics for neural PDE solvers, aiming to improve long‑horizon predictions by mitigating error accumulation. By representing physical states as latent distributions and evolving them through probabilistic transitions, the method aligns learned dynamics with a spectral geometry induced by structured Gaussian perturbations. Experiments on fluid‑dynamics benchmarks show that VAMO reduces error growth and enhances rollout stability compared to deterministic and noise‑injection baselines.

By Junyi Liao, Johann Guilleminot, Vahid Tarokh