We investigate a forecasting framework based on a simple discrete-time dynamic model with coefficients varying in time. The parameters of the model are recovered within a deep learning framework, which makes it possible to retain a transparent parametric structure while simultaneously accounting for complex and nonstationary patterns in the observed phenomenon.
arXiv:2608. 15362v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose a methodology based on the standard ReLU Deep Neural Networks (DNN) to make predictions and quantify their uncertainty.
By Kejin Wu
arXiv:2509. 06697v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Exchange rate forecasting remains a challenging problem, particularly for emerging economies, where the observed time series exhibit pronounced long-memory dependence, nonlinear dynamics, and sensitivity to macro-financial drivers.
By Donia Besher, Madhurima Panja, Shovon Sengupta, Tanujit Chakraborty
arXiv:2508. 16509v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The ability to quantify information transmission is crucial for the analysis and design of both natural and engineered systems.
By Manuel Reinhardt, Ga\v{s}per Tka\v{c}ik, Pieter Rein ten Wolde
arXiv:2606. 27711v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce a neural network-based framework for learning time series estimators through a process we term decision-theoretic pretraining.
By Pablo Montero-Manso, Marcel Scharth
arXiv:2602. 16864v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series (TS) modeling has come a long way from early statistical, mainly linear, approaches to the current trend in TS foundation models.
By Daniel Durstewitz, Christoph J\"urgen Hemmer, Florian Hess, Charlotte Ricarda Doll, Lukas Eisenmann