arXiv Machine Learning By Agnieszka Kope\'c, Pawe{\l} Przyby{\l}owicz, Martyna Wi\k{a}cek

Neural Network-Based Estimation of Time-Dependent Parameters in AR(p) Processes

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arXiv:2607. 00470v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We investigate a forecasting framework based on a simple discrete-time dynamic model with coefficients varying in time.

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Neural Network-Based Estimation of Time-Dependent Parameters in AR(p) Processes

We investigate a forecasting framework based on a simple discrete-time dynamic model with coefficients varying in time. The parameters of the model are recovered within a deep learning framework, which makes it possible to retain a transparent parametric structure while simultaneously accounting for complex and nonstationary patterns in the observed phenomenon.