arXiv Machine Learning

Leave-One-Out-, Bootstrap- and Cross-Conformal Anomaly Detectors

arXiv:2402. 16388v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The need for uncertainty quantification in anomaly detection systems has become increasingly important.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 3

Set-Preserving Calibration from Conformal P-Values to E-Values

arXiv:2606. 03600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Standard conformal prediction (CP) procedures are typically formulated in terms of p-values, but reliance on p-values alone limits flexibility, for example, when combining dependent evidence across models or data splits.

By Nabil Alami, Jad Zakharia, Souhaib Ben Taieb
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

Early Failure Prediction from Near-Anomaly Detection: A Proactive Approach

arXiv:2607. 26704v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Anomaly detection methods often have uncertain behavior with respect to samples near the distribution boundary, limiting their ability to anticipate future anomalies.

By L\'ea Billet (LAAS, INSA Toulouse, ANITI), Louise Trav\'e-Massuy\`es (LAAS-DISCO, Comue de Toulouse, ANITI), Elodie Chanthery (LAAS), Alexandre Gaffet
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

On Optimal Data Splitting for Split Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2606. 31600v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction and its variants, including the split conformal prediction, provide a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification by constructing prediction intervals or sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees.

By Sayan Das, Bahram Yaghooti, Todd A. Kuffner, Soumendra N. Lahiri
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Isotonic Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.

By Daniel Bensimon, Sean Xiang Yu, Eric D. Kolaczyk, Archer Y. Yang