Are Video Reasoning Models Ready to Go Outside?
arXiv:2603. 10652v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In real-world deployment, vision-language models often encounter disturbances such as weather, occlusion, and camera motion.
Video foundation models now match human accuracy on physical‑reasoning benchmarks, but a new distributional evaluation framework shows that their predictions diverge markedly from human judgments. On the Physion benchmark, ViT‑L models such as V‑JEPA2, VideoMAE‑v2, and DINOv2 achieve near‑human accuracy yet exhibit a 26.4% model‑human disagreement, far above the 4.8% human‑human disagreement, and lower agreement (kappa ~0.48 vs. 0.91). The divergence varies by task: models excel at geometric reasoning but lag on gravitational dynamics and causal chains, indicating they rely on statistical regularities rather than explicit forward simulation.
arXiv:2603. 10652v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In real-world deployment, vision-language models often encounter disturbances such as weather, occlusion, and camera motion.
SYNCR is a synthetic benchmark designed to evaluate multimodal large language models on cross‑video reasoning. It contains 4,000 question‑answer pairs across 4,827 unique videos, covering tasks in temporal alignment, spatial tracking, comparative reasoning, and holistic synthesis. The benchmark reveals a significant performance gap between current models and humans, with models excelling at temporal ordering but struggling with precise physical and spatial reasoning.
arXiv:2603. 06828v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We uncover a behavioral law of long-horizon vision-language models: models that maintain temporally grounded beliefs generalize better.
The paper introduces a framework that combines world models, which generate concrete visual rollouts of possible futures, with multimodal large language models (MLLMs) that perform abstract reasoning. It proposes a controlled concrete reasoning approach and a new training method called Privileged‑Future On‑Policy Self‑Distillation (PF‑OPSD), which uses ground‑truth future videos as privileged teacher context during training while the student model never sees true futures at test time. Experiments on two human‑verified benchmarks, VRQABench and OpenWorldQA, show that PF‑OPSD improves performance by about 10–11% over baselines and enhances robustness to noisy or conflicting rollouts.
arXiv:2607. 13305v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Benchmark accuracy in video large language models (LLMs) is often treated as evidence of visual understanding.
arXiv:2608. 16829v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Video world models approximate the stochastic distribution of physical outcomes through generative sampling, but existing benchmarks score individual generations or compare distributions coarsely over a whole dataset, leaving the fine-grained aleatoric uncertainty of specific phenomena untested.
World models and multimodal large language models (MLLMs) provide complementary capabilities for predicting future outcomes from static visual observations. World models can generate concrete visual rollouts of possible futures, while MLLMs can reason abstractly over questions, goals, and rules.
arXiv:2606. 15032v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: World models have rapidly become one of the central abstractions in modern AI.
The paper introduces WROP, a dataset of 150 hand‑designed cognitive tasks aimed at testing object permanence in video generation models. Using Blender, the authors generate over 10,000 samples per task, compiling a 1.5 M‑sample training corpus and a 300‑question exam. They evaluate 14 video models, showing that their 16B world model, PWM‑WROP, ranks first among continuation models and third overall in a blind Elo study.
arXiv:2606. 26904v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Video reasoning language models implicitly assume that every input frame is equally reliable.
arXiv:2606. 01485v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We describe our submission to the VRR Challenge @ CVPR 2026, built on the \emph{ImplicitQA} / \emph{VRR-QA} benchmark~\cite{implicitqa}: multiple-choice video question answering in which answers are deliberately \emph{not} observable in any single frame and must be inferred from spatial layout, motion, depth, viewpoint, causality, and social context across discontinuous frames of creative video.
arXiv:2506. 06006v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Can unified vision-language models (VLMs) perform forward dynamics prediction (FDP), i.