arXiv Machine Learning

Uncertainty Quantification for AI-Driven Crash Simulation Surrogates: A Comparative Study of Monte Carlo Dropout and Deep Ensemble on Open-Source Bumper Beam Benchmark

arXiv:2607. 18294v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine learning surrogate models are increasingly being explored in engineering product development to augment simulation-driven design, offering near-instantaneous predictions that complement computationally expensive high-fidelity analyses.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Predictive Uncertainty for Neural CAE Surrogates

arXiv:2609.25430v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural surrogates can substantially accelerate computer-aided engineering (CAE) workflows, but their use in design requires uncertainty estimates that...

By Kaustubh Tangsali, Mohammad Amin Nabian, Kelvin Lee, Carmelo Gonzales, Sanjay Choudhry
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 21

CarBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Neural Surrogates on High-Fidelity 3D Car Aerodynamics

arXiv:2512. 07847v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Benchmarking has been the cornerstone of progress in computer vision, natural language processing, and the broader deep learning domain, driving algorithmic innovation through standardized datasets and reproducible evaluation protocols.

By Mohamed Elrefaie, Dule Shu, Matt Klenk, Faez Ahmed
arXiv AI
Jun 17

Surrogate Assisted Pedestrian Protection Design via a Foundation Model Orchestrated Workflow

arXiv:2606. 17577v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI-driven engineering workflows face particular challenges in crash safety design: unlike aerodynamics, crash events involve highly nonlinear contact dynamics, material nonlinearity, and discrete state transitions that are difficult to capture with data-driven surrogate models.

By Osamu Ito, Akihiko Katagiri, Yoshikazu Nakagawa, Shin Saeki, Jun Shiraishi, Masato Sasaki
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Improving Calibration of Black-Box Radiology AI Using Test-Time Augmentation

The paper presents DualTTA, a model‑agnostic framework that improves the calibration of black‑box radiology AI systems by applying clinically grounded test‑time augmentations (geometric and physics‑inspired 3D CT perturbations) and learning probability‑level aggregation strategies. Without accessing model internals or training data, DualTTA achieved the best overall calibration across pulmonary embolism and intracranial hemorrhage detection tasks, reducing Expected Calibration Error by 54% and 43% respectively. It also outperformed traditional uncertainty estimation methods that require internal model access, such as Temperature Scaling, MC Dropout, and Deep Ensembles.

By Nathan Le, Magdalini Paschali, Arogya Koirala, Andrew Johnston, Zhongnan Fang, David B. Larson, Akshay S. Chaudhari, Camila Gonzalez
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Beyond Compression: Training Latent Representations for Stable Long-Horizon Rollout in Neural Surrogate Solvers

The paper investigates why latent neural surrogate solvers, which compress physical system dynamics into a lower‑dimensional space, often fail during long‑horizon autoregressive rollouts. It demonstrates that training the latent representation only for reconstruction leads to instability, and proposes a set of training interventions—Koopman operator learning, Hamming noise injection, and multi‑step rollout fine‑tuning—that align the latent space with long‑horizon forecasting. These interventions reduce long‑rollout error by about 40 % and achieve accuracy comparable to full‑resolution models while using far fewer floating‑point operations and GPU memory, enabling stable extrapolation in mesoscale crystal‑plasticity simulations of high‑cycle fatigue.

By Andreas E. Robertson, Ashley T. Lenau, John D. Shimanek, Benjamin A. Jasperson, Vivek Oommen, David L. Damm, Krishna Garikipati, Remi Dingreville