Extreme Adaptive Transformer for Time Series Forecasting
arXiv:2607. 02437v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting remains challenging when the underlying data contain rare but critical extreme events.
The paper presents FANTF, a Fuzzy Attention Network-Based Transformer that integrates fuzzy logic into transformer architectures via a novel fuzzy attention mechanism inspired by Type‑2 fuzzy set theory. This mechanism employs a learnable Gaussian uncertainty perturbation to model uncertainty in attention relevance scores, producing softer, more diverse attention distributions and uncertainty‑aware interpretations. Experiments across five transformer backbones on real‑life datasets show statistically significant improvements in forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection, especially under noisy and non‑stationary conditions.
arXiv:2607. 02437v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting remains challenging when the underlying data contain rare but critical extreme events.
The paper introduces a token dependency selection strategy for Transformer-based time series forecasting. By jointly applying an attention entropy constraint and a prediction error constraint, the method identifies fewer but more critical inter-token dependencies, reducing the influence of redundant dependencies that can hurt generalization. Experiments on multiple datasets show that this approach improves forecasting performance across various Transformer models.
SETTer is a transformer-based model designed for long‑term multivariate time‑series forecasting. It introduces decoupled self‑attention and hybrid masking to better handle high dimensionality and complex relationships, while adding explainable structures to highlight discriminative patterns. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that SETTer outperforms state‑of‑the‑art models in 88% of scenarios.
arXiv:2606. 26549v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) plays a crucial role in fields such as energy management, finance, and traffic prediction.
The paper introduces a lightweight pre‑encoder gate for Transformer‑based time‑series forecasters, which assigns sigmoid scores to covariate representations before they enter the encoder. The gate is evaluated as a plug‑in for models such as TimeXer, iTransformer, and PatchTST on datasets including ETTm1, ETTm2, Traffic, Energy, and ILI, showing competitive performance and the ability to regulate covariate admission via a usage penalty. Experiments also explore gate placement, initialization, and feature importance using VIF‑informed permutation diagnostics.
SETTer is a transformer-based model designed for long‑term multivariate time‑series forecasting. It introduces decoupled self‑attention and hybrid masking to better capture short‑ and long‑term patterns across time and channel dimensions, while adding simple explainable structures to highlight discriminative patterns. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that a single‑layer SETTer outperforms state‑of‑the‑art models in 88% of scenarios.
arXiv:2607. 02344v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Transformer architectures have shown strong potential in time series forecasting, where multi-head self-attention is widely used to capture temporal dependencies across historical timestamps.
arXiv:2408. 11336v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Climate change stands as one of the most pressing global challenges of the twenty-first century, with far-reaching consequences such as rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and increasingly extreme weather patterns.
arXiv:2605. 27458v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Transformer has significantly propelled the development of artificial intelligence, and certainly the development of agents as well.
arXiv:2606. 20055v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series anomaly detection has significant practical value for industrial and medical monitoring, as well as other critical domains.
arXiv:2607. 15705v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate load forecasting at multiple grid levels is essential for future smart grids, ranging from aggregated control area forecasts for balancing supply and demand to forecasts of individual end-consumer loads for demand-side management and energy management systems.
arXiv:2610.19603v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformers have demonstrated strong performance in long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), yet modeling non-stationary temporal dependencies remain...