arXiv AI

Calibrate Globally, Measure Everywhere: Scaling LLM-Based Prevalence Measurement Across A/B Experiments

arXiv:2602. 16111v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Online media platforms track the share of impressions associated with content attributes, or prevalence, to evaluate trade-offs and set guardrails in A/B experiments.

arXiv Machine Learning
4d ago

RAISE: Diagnosing Acquisition Collapse in Costly LLM Signals

The paper introduces RAISE, a diagnostic framework that tests whether a costly large language model (LLM) signal provides enough pre-call information to justify selective use. It identifies the failure mode of acquisition collapse, where an LLM appears useful overall but lacks actionable evidence for individual decisions. The authors demonstrate RAISE with Structured Hypothesis Embeddings (SHE) and evaluate it across multiple study designs, showing that predictable incremental benefit, rather than average lift, indicates recoverable selective value.

By Ying Yuan, Yu Wang, Yize Cheng, Xuyang Wu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 3

Clean Engineering, Unstable Measurement: A Preregistered Reliability Failure of Black-Box LLM Observers on Shared Endpoints

The paper investigates the reliability of language‑model judges used as measurement instruments on shared endpoints. Through two preregistered audits of 52,988 requests, the authors found that repeat rankings and byte‑identical replays fell far short of required thresholds, revealing significant instability. They identify three mechanisms—label‑to‑meaning bias, candidate gaps below the noise floor, and input permutation noise—that explain the gap, and propose a snapshot‑identity ladder, design rules, and a reporting checklist to mitigate such failures.

arXiv AI
Sep 12

What a Random Draw from the MCP Registry Contains, and What Tool-Use Benchmarks Contain Instead

The study examines the composition of a random sample from the Model Context Protocol (MCP) registry, revealing that only 48.8% of the 400 sampled npm/stdio servers successfully complete an initialization handshake, compared to 66.7% for a hand‑curated frame. Among the servers that run, there are no fatal JSON Schema violations across 2,766 advertised tools, but optional safety annotations vary widely, with a 58.8% omission rate in the random draw versus 41.5% in the curated set. The authors also compare MCP tool descriptions to two benchmark corpora, finding minimal near‑duplication in real MCP tools (2.8%) and significant repetition in synthetic datasets (up to 85.6%).

By Haseeb Mohammed Afsar
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

Scores Are Not Decisions: Cost-Aware Stopping for Tool Acquisition in LLM Agents

arXiv:2607. 27083v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As LLM agents increasingly depend on diverse external services such as search engines, databases, and connectors, agent harnesses face a fundamental tool-selection challenge: acquiring too few tools leaves the task under-informed, while too many adds cost, context load, and privacy exposure.

By Yicheng Feng, Yan Zhang, Yan Cheng, Wei Qi
arXiv AI
Aug 6

ORCA-bench: How Ready Are Language Model Agents for Oncall?

arXiv:2607. 28545v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models can write, patch, and search code, but oncall root cause analysis (RCA) demands something different: reasoning over noisy metrics, logs, traces, and source code, starting from ambiguous user-facing reports, often hours after the incident began.

By Albert Gong, Kyuseong Choi, Abhineet Agarwal, Jason Schechner, Ryan Huang, Raj Agrawal, Anish Agarwal, Raaz Dwivedi