arXiv Machine Learning

RAISE: Diagnosing Acquisition Collapse in Costly LLM Signals

The paper introduces RAISE, a diagnostic framework that tests whether a costly large language model (LLM) signal provides enough pre-call information to justify selective use. It identifies the failure mode of acquisition collapse, where an LLM appears useful overall but lacks actionable evidence for individual decisions. The authors demonstrate RAISE with Structured Hypothesis Embeddings (SHE) and evaluate it across multiple study designs, showing that predictable incremental benefit, rather than average lift, indicates recoverable selective value.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 7

Doomed from the Start: Early Abort of LLM Agent Episodes via a Recall-Controlled Probe Cascade

Large language model (LLM) agents solving multi-step tasks frequently commit to trajectories that are doomed to fail, yet continue to consume substantial inference compute before the failure becomes observable. We show that failure is predictable early from the agent's internal representations: lightweight per-round probes on hidden activations anticipate eventual episode failure as early as the first interaction round, where scorers reading only the agent's observable behavior are barely better than chance.

arXiv AI
Sep 15

Root-Cause Attribution Is a Search Problem: Continual Search for Long-Horizon Agent Failures

The paper introduces Continual Search, an iterative framework that guides large language models to persistently search for diagnostic evidence in long AI agent execution logs, addressing the limitations of one-shot judgments. Evaluated on four existing RCA benchmarks and a new large-scale dataset called MegaRCA-Mix, Continual Search consistently boosts attribution performance, achieving a 40% F1 improvement for GPT‑5.5 on MegaRCA‑Mix. The results show that effective search can outweigh raw model scale, enabling lower-tier models to outperform higher-tier ones in root‑cause attribution tasks.

By Harsh Raj, David Lee, Anas Mahmoud, Renxiong Wang, Razvan-Gabriel Dumitru, Chenguang Wang, Tong Zhao, Yunzhong He, Darvin Yi, Vipul Gupta
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 15

Beyond Depth and Width: The Information-Slack Dilemma in Streaming Test-Time Compute

The paper discusses how the same computational task can require different reasoning strategies depending on the order in which evidence arrives, introducing the concept of an "information‑slack dilemma." It argues that early computation may be useful only if its benefits outweigh the costs of later verification, invalidation, and recovery, and proposes a research agenda focused on selective recovery and predictive policies. The authors emphasize evaluating these approaches by separating early‑execution effects, deployment value versus full‑input alternatives, and the added value of predictive policies while considering shared‑resource costs.

By Xiaotian Zhang (Trooly.AI)
arXiv AI
Aug 11

From Trajectories to Evidence: Auditable Experimental Records for Industrial Research Agents

arXiv:2608. 05235v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Research agents increasingly conduct multi-round machine-learning experiments in industrial recommendation settings and retain the resulting trajectories to guide later decisions.

By Zijie Zhuang, Changxin Lao, Pengbo Xu, Hanwen Xu, Ruochen Yang, Yingzhi He, Peng Zhang, Jiangxia Cao, Yusheng Huang, Guohong Mu, Jian Liang, Ruiming Tang, Shuang Yang, Zhaojie Liu, Wenwu Ou, Kun Gai
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

From Offline Proxies to Online Decisions: A Layered Engagement Evaluation Framework for Conversational AI

The paper presents a layered framework for evaluating conversational AI by aligning offline proxy signals with online A/B experiment outcomes. It introduces a three‑step alignment chain—behavioral label to product outcome, classifier to candidate behavior, and offline signal to experiment effect—alongside an audit protocol that compares confidence intervals and rankings. In a real‑world deployment, the composite proxy achieved 81.1% F1 versus 34.3% for the raw classifier, correctly predicting direction on all 113 contrasts and enabling efficient prioritization of candidate models before costly online testing.

By Xuanyi Li, Vaskar Nath, Hossein Amirkhani, Jay Li, Alex Deng
arXiv AI
Sep 25

Persuaded, Not Informed: Incentive-Misaligned Witnesses Defeat In-Context Grounding

The paper reports that language‑model agents used for customer‑relationship management can be misled by optimistic assertions from sales representatives in CRM records, leading to incorrect deal approvals. In a benchmark of 100 lead‑qualification tasks, models incorrectly cleared 29 of 31 deals where the representative’s claims contradicted company policies, with misalignment rates ranging from 87% to 97% across seven models. The authors propose diagnostic methods—including bucket analysis, same‑information controls, and compute‑step controls—to distinguish persuasion from information gaps and to quantify the impact of incentive‑misaligned witnesses.

By Rahul Balakavi
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

Scores Are Not Decisions: Cost-Aware Stopping for Tool Acquisition in LLM Agents

arXiv:2607. 27083v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As LLM agents increasingly depend on diverse external services such as search engines, databases, and connectors, agent harnesses face a fundamental tool-selection challenge: acquiring too few tools leaves the task under-informed, while too many adds cost, context load, and privacy exposure.

By Yicheng Feng, Yan Zhang, Yan Cheng, Wei Qi