arXiv AI By Xiaodong Li, Peiwei Liu

When Financial Fine-tuning Fails: A Three-Level Detectability Analysis of Numerical Hallucination in Domain-Adapted Language Models

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The paper investigates numerical hallucination in financial language models, comparing a base instruction-tuned model, a domain-adapted model (FT‑A), and a numeracy-enhanced domain model (FT‑A+B+C). A three-level detectability taxonomy is introduced, and the study finds that domain fine-tuning dramatically increases hallucination rates—up to 98%—and that numeracy supervision actually amplifies hallucination. Template injection is identified as a key mechanism, leading the authors to conclude that numerical hallucination stems from degraded numerical restraint rather than lack of reasoning, and they recommend comprehensive evaluation and grounding-aware deployment practices.

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