arXiv AI By Ivan Decostanzi, Michele Ronco, Sergio Consoli, Christina Corbane, Lorenzo Bertolini, Indaco Biazzo, Daria Mihaila, Manuel Garcia-Herranz, Felix Schwebel, Yelena Mejova, Kyriaki Kalimeri

Verifiable Disaster Storylines and Causal Knowledge Graphs: A Citation-Grounded Pipeline from Heterogeneous Humanitarian Sources

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The paper introduces a pipeline that merges structured disaster records from EM‑DAT with unstructured documents from ReliefWeb and the European Media Monitor to generate source‑grounded disaster storylines and causal knowledge graphs. Using Retrieval‑Augmented Generation, it produces tabular event profiles covering 17 fields and builds causal graphs enriched with citation‑grounded explanatory narratives, allowing traceability to primary sources. Human evaluation across three crisis cases shows high retrieval precision, strong faithfulness of causal relations, and a clear expert preference for citation‑grounded components over ungrounded ones.

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