arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 18

Before the Arrest: Benchmarking LLMs on Criminal Profiling from Incomplete Evidence

The paper introduces the Profiling, Investigation, and Judgment (PIJ) benchmark, which contains 2,500 real homicide cases from five countries to evaluate large language models (LLMs) on pre‑arrest criminal investigation tasks. It assesses LLMs across criminal profiling, crime process reconstruction, and sentence prediction, revealing that performance drops as tasks require more implicit reasoning about unknown suspect profiles. The study finds that LLMs lag behind human experts, especially on inferential tasks like motivation and victim‑offender relationships, and exhibit biases in gender, age, and motive attribution.

By Yutong Yao, Yanjie Cao, Guanhua Chen, Xu Yang, Junchao Wu, Zeyu Wu, Lidia S. Chao, Derek F. Wong
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 17

Before the Arrest: Benchmarking LLMs on Criminal Profiling from Incomplete Evidence

The paper introduces the Profiling, Investigation, and Judgment (PIJ) benchmark, which contains 2,500 real homicide cases from five countries to evaluate large language models (LLMs) on pre‑arrest criminal investigation tasks. It assesses LLMs across criminal profiling, crime process reconstruction, and sentence prediction, revealing that performance drops as tasks require more implicit reasoning about unknown suspect profiles. The study finds that LLMs lag behind human experts, especially in inferential categories like motivation and victim‑offender relationships, and exhibit biases in gender, age, and motive attribution.

arXiv AI
Sep 23

Toward Auditable and Calibrated AI for Dementia-Related Crash Severity Prediction: A Selective Deferral Framework to Support Human Review

The paper presents a decision‑aware framework for predicting dementia‑related crash severity that emphasizes auditability and selective deferral. Using 4,781 Texas crash records, the authors evaluate several models—including structured, narrative, fusion, calibrated fusion, BERT‑family, and local large‑language‑model baselines—under a stratified 70/15/15 split. The leakage‑controlled Gemma model achieves the highest macro‑F1 of 0.545, while a calibrated fusion model reaches 0.522 macro‑F1 with an expected calibration error of 0.033; selective deferral further improves performance, raising macro‑F1 to 0.573 at 70% coverage and reducing severity cost to 0.577.

By Gaurab Chhetri, Anika Baitullah, Subasish Das
arXiv AI
Oct 1

A Reusable Semantic Web Framework for Evidence-Grounded Fundamental Rights Impact Assessments under the EU AI Act

The paper introduces a reusable Semantic Web framework that aggregates fragmented evidence needed for Fundamental Rights Impact Assessments under the EU AI Act, focusing on high‑risk public sector categories such as employment and worker management and access to essential public services. A curated 150‑record corpus is annotated across four axes and serialized into a SPARQL‑queryable knowledge graph of 1,351 RDF triples, enabling five demonstration scenarios that retrieve 103 records (68.7% coverage). Evaluation against a 69‑record gold standard shows that LLM‑assisted classification in the employment domain yields a low κ of 0.045, highlighting challenges in automated fairness‑related evidence retrieval, while all artefacts are released openly for regulators, authorities, and SMEs.

By Faith Olopade, Delaram Golpayegani, David Lewis
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 25

Not All Synthetic Data Are Equal: Expert-Committee Audit Screening for Imbalanced Crash-Injury-Severity Prediction in Automated Driving Systems

The paper introduces Expert-Committee Audit Screening (ECAS), a framework that evaluates the credibility of synthetic minority samples for predicting crash injury severity in automated driving systems. Using real incident data from the NHTSA, ECAS filters generated samples based on label support, boundary separation, committee agreement, and local plausibility, then selects accepted samples via within‑class percentile normalization and Pareto non‑dominated sorting. The best ECAS configuration, combined with normalizing flow augmentation and a TabPFN classifier, outperformed other evidence settings in balanced accuracy, macro‑F1, and minor‑injury recall, and analysis showed ECAS‑accepted samples were better supported by nearby real crashes.

By Zewei Li, Qiaoqiao Ren, Hang Yang, S. C. Wong, Stergios-Aristoteles Mitoulis, Yun Ye