System1-Arena is a benchmark that evaluates which decisions can be handled by System‑1 models—those that output probabilities in a single forward pass—versus System‑2 models that generate reasoning steps. It contains 92,000 questions across 105 tasks from 268 public sources, grouped into text classification, applied decisions, evaluation and control, and agent/action, and also includes 138 closed‑loop environments such as web shopping, coding control, robotics, games, and driving. The study tests 30 models, showing that large System‑1 models can match or exceed fast closed LLMs in non‑agentic accuracy with better‑calibrated probabilities at lower latency, while reasoning LLMs are most accurate but far more expensive, and large open LLMs perform best in closed‑loop settings.
By Tianyu Chen, Xinyang Liu, Ruyi An, Zhendong Wang, Mingyuan Zhou
The paper introduces SCX Router, a lightweight GLiClass-based model selector that assigns suitability scores to inference-time language models without autoregressive generation. It uses a 0.6B-parameter Qwen3 decoder with a shallow bidirectional scorer, preserving a text-only key–value cache across sessions and predicting task attributes such as type, difficulty, and expected output length. The authors build a comprehensive task ontology with 23 families, 115 types, and 1,173 synthetic examples, generating 150,000 verifier-scored tasks to train the router, which outperforms baseline models on LiveBench subsets with a top‑1 score of 0.707 versus 0.696 for the strongest fixed model.
By Ihor Stepanov, Aleksandr Smechov, Mykhailo Shtopko, Dmytro Vodianytskyi, Oleksandr Lukashov
arXiv:2610.15501v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large language models make decisions through parallel prefill and sequential decoding. Although effective, this approach incurs decoding costs and does...
By Ziyi Chen, Yan Zhang, Jianhui Wei, Jianing Yin, Daoan Zhang
The paper evaluates System One decision models—typed models that output probabilities for branching decisions—against supervised classifiers and generative language models on automated decision gate tasks. Eight checkpoints from six families, including the hosted model Jev, were benchmarked on workflow, intent, and social‑science items, showing that small trained classifiers match or slightly outperform decision models on intent and workflow when labels are available, while decision models outperform zero‑shot classifiers when labels are absent. The study also explores calibration, risk thresholds, and cost‑efficiency trade‑offs, providing condition‑dependent design guidelines for automated decision gates.
By Amir Rafe, Subasish Das
arXiv:2610.17309v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: We introduce StartLux-Decision, decision models from 0.8B to 27B parameters that combine efficient single-pass prediction with adaptive, confidence-g...
By Xialie Zhuang, Zunhai Su, Jia Pan, Ngai Wong, Guanhua Chen, Chuan-Wei Kuo
TypedBench is a new benchmark designed to evaluate system‑one decision models that output calibrated probabilities for typed answers—categorical, ordinal, or binary—using a non‑generative interface. The benchmark assesses models on policy adherence, wording robustness, probability quality (via selective prediction, ordinal proper scoring rules, and calibration error), and the cost of decisions under asymmetric cost matrices, using seven policy‑labelled generators and nine evaluation suites. Experiments on a hosted model, an open encoder, and a range of open decoders (0.8B–9B parameters) reveal that the hosted model is wording‑sensitive and underconfident, while decoders are slow and less accurate on policy questions, highlighting the need for joint evaluation across multiple dimensions.
By Rahul Sharma, Andrew B. Ducan, Ga\'etan Marceau Caron, Sebastian J. Vollmer