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arXiv Machine Learning By Alexander Henzi, Tiange Liu, Xinwei Shen

Sufficiently Reduced Distributional Regression

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Sufficiently Reduced Distributional Regression (SRDR) is a generative approach that merges conditional distribution estimation with nonlinear sufficient dimension reduction (SDR). By framing SDR as a risk minimization problem using strictly proper scoring rules, SRDR jointly learns a dimension reduction map and a generative prediction model through minimization of the energy score, which can be estimated via sampling. The method extends to multi‑environment data and classification, and theoretical results show convergence of estimated conditional distributions in energy distance, implying asymptotic sufficiency. In experiments on CT slice localization, superconductivity data, and digit classification, SRDR recovers low‑dimensional sufficient structure and matches or surpasses state‑of‑the‑art nonlinear SDR methods in representation quality and predictive performance.

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