SPARK: A General Goodness-of-Fit Assessment via Residual Projection
Read the original on arXiv Statistics ML →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Statistics ML.
The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Statistics ML.
arXiv:2602. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty.
The paper introduces PLSP (Pre-hoc Liminal Space Profiling), an anticipatory framework for predicting out-of-distribution (OOD) data before inference. It proposes a dataset‑independent metric called the CREDibility Score (CREDS) and introduces credibility curves and heat maps to analyze a model’s maximum credibility and behavior across datasets. Experiments on multiple datasets show that CREDS can improve model robustness to OOD prediction.
arXiv:2510. 25599v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require reliable uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused.
arXiv:2607. 08347v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Active testing provides a label--efficient approach to risk estimation by adaptively selecting which test points should be labelled.
arXiv:2603.05575v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a blac...
arXiv:2303. 08777v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Cross-validation is one of the most widely used tools for risk estimation and model selection in statistics and machine learning, yet its theoretical properties when embedded in a learning procedure remain insufficiently understood.