arXiv:2607. 20636v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As humans, we face many decisions that require us to choose between sticking to something and giving up.
By Kavya Ravichandran
arXiv:2607. 06166v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction markets aggregate dispersed beliefs into prices that act as probabilistic forecasts of uncertain events.
By Anri Gu, Nicole Kagan, Alec Sun, Jibang Wu, Haifeng Xu
arXiv:2401. 14483v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In the current practices of machine learning, the evaluation of forecasts has become a cornerstone of scientific progress.
By Rabanus Derr, Robert C. Williamson
arXiv:2608. 09450v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Betting-based sequential tests and Blackwell approachability are linked by a rate-explicit reduction through support-function residuals.
By Jinze Zhao
arXiv:2607. 02755v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Training AIs to be risk-averse in resources could offer a failsafe in the event that AIs turn out misaligned.
By Kristina Zhang, Junior Chinomso Okoroafor, Benjamin Maltbie, Andrew Lin, Abhitej Bokka, Elliott Thornley
arXiv:2607. 11983v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A specialist tolerates blind spots that a generalist does not.
By Cheng Qian