arXiv Machine Learning By Roman Plaud, Antoine Saillenfest, Matthieu Labeau, Thomas Bonald, Willem Waegeman

Single-Query Black-Box Calibration Auditing via Logit Bias

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The paper introduces a method for auditing the calibration of large language models (LLMs) that only exposes a logit_bias parameter. By mathematically manipulating this parameter, the authors can evaluate exact probability thresholds with a single query per sample, enabling a provably consistent estimator of True Calibration Error for binary tasks. This approach offers an efficient framework for auditing black‑box foundation models despite limited access to continuous output probabilities.

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