arXiv Machine Learning By Jiacheng Zheng, Chang Guo, Zixuan Wang, Xinyu Liu

Scaffold splits hide structural-frontier failures in ADMET models

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2607. 10729v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Molecular property models are commonly evaluated by holding out Bemis--Murcko scaffolds, yet a scaffold identifier is only one notion of chemical unfamiliarity.

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arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

Interpretable-by-Design Descriptor Portfolios Match a 2048-Dimensional Foundation Embedding on Low-Data Molecular Assays

The study evaluates whether a portfolio of compact, semantically named descriptor blocks can match the performance of a 2048‑dimensional CheMeleon embedding in low‑data molecular assays. Using a fixed 11‑dimensional physicochemical base and greedily adding provenance‑screened blocks, the portfolio achieves a mean test AUC of 0.762 across nine ADME/Tox assays, comparable to CheMeleon’s 0.764 and better than Mordred’s 0.756. The results meet a predeclared pooled parity threshold but not all per‑assay thresholds, and further analysis confirms the competitiveness of the auditable representation while highlighting unresolved assay‑level differences.

By Yiqi Yao, Miquel Duran-Frigola
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 9

A Quiet Failure in Calibrated Virtual Screening: Marginal Conformal Prediction Under-Covers the Minority Class, and a Class-Conditional Fix Recovers It

arXiv:2607. 06605v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction is being adopted in drug discovery to put an honest number on model reliability: pick an error rate alpha, and the method returns prediction sets containing the true label with probability at least 1 - alpha.

By Muhammadjon Tursunbadalov (School of Science and Technology, Champions College Prep, United States), Mustafojon Tursunbadalov (School of Science and Technology, Champions College Prep, United States)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Do Larger Models Really Win in Drug Discovery? A Benchmark Assessment of Model Scaling in AI-Driven Molecular Property and Activity Prediction

arXiv:2604. 26498v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The rapid growth of molecular foundation models and large language models (LLMs) has encouraged a scale centred view of AI in drug discovery, in which larger pretrained models are expected to supersede compact cheminformatics models.

By Jinjiang Guo, Sheng Ding
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

Monroe: A Molecular Foundation Model for In-Context Probabilistic Inference

Monroe is a new molecular foundation model that improves upon existing models by pre‑training on over 81 million molecules from the PM6 quantum chemistry dataset, enhancing stereochemistry representation, and introducing novel training losses such as conformer denoising and embedding decorrelation. It also incorporates a prior‑data‑fitted model (TabPFN) for downstream in‑context prediction and demonstrates superior performance on Polaris benchmarks and activity cliff tests. Ablation studies show that the PFN‑based downstream approach can upgrade other models, producing state‑of‑the‑art variants MiniMol_PFN and CheMeleon_PFN.

By Blazej Banaszewski, Andrew W. Fitzgibbon