arXiv AI By Wenhao Liang, Lin Yue, Wei Emma Zhang, Mingyu Guo, Olaf Maennel, Weitong Chen

Routing Probes Can Improve Without New Information: An Exact-Null Audit of Uncertainty Beyond Model Outputs

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arXiv AI
1d ago

Auditing Routing Entropy as an Uncertainty Signal in Attention-Residual Transformers

The paper audits whether routing entropy in Attention‑Residual transformer variants (Swin‑Tiny and DeiT‑Small) trained on CIFAR‑10/100 can signal prediction uncertainty beyond model confidence. Three tests examine the presence, consistency, and predictive power of routing signals, while a sensitivity audit measures how much injected effect the probes recover. Results show no significant improvement over confidence alone, with only modest recovery of injected signals and no consistent gains across seeds or metrics.

By Wenhao Liang, Lin Yue, Wei Emma Zhang, Mingyu Guo, Olaf Maennel, Weitong Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11

Opportunity Is Not Realizability: Selection-Valid Diagnostics for Multi-LLM Routing

arXiv:2608. 08265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Oracle routing measures how much a pool of language models could gain from per-query selection, but the diagnostic has two flaws: testing against a best fixed model selected on the same examples invalidates paired inference, and a full-information oracle sees outcomes no deployable router observes.

By Ibne Farabi Shihab, Abu Sa-Adat Mohamed Moon-Im Al Ahsan, Md Najmus Swaqeeb