Routing Probes Can Improve Without New Information: An Exact-Null Audit of Uncertainty Beyond Model Outputs
Read the original on arXiv AI →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv AI.
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The paper audits whether routing entropy in Attention‑Residual transformer variants (Swin‑Tiny and DeiT‑Small) trained on CIFAR‑10/100 can signal prediction uncertainty beyond model confidence. Three tests examine the presence, consistency, and predictive power of routing signals, while a sensitivity audit measures how much injected effect the probes recover. Results show no significant improvement over confidence alone, with only modest recovery of injected signals and no consistent gains across seeds or metrics.
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