arXiv Statistics ML
Proximal Balancing for Causal Effect Estimation under Unmeasured Confounding
Read the original on arXiv Statistics ML →The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Statistics ML.
Related stories
arXiv Statistics ML
4d ago
Identifying Causal Effects Using a Single Proxy Variable
The paper tackles the problem of estimating causal effects when an unobserved confounder is present. It assumes a single, possibly multi‑dimensional proxy variable for the confounder and knowledge of the mechanism that generates this proxy. Under the Single Proxy Identifiability of Causal Effects (SPICE) assumption, the authors prove that the error mechanism is complete and causal effects are identifiable, extending prior proxy‑based results to continuous, multi‑dimensional settings and more flexible functional forms. They also introduce SPICE‑Net, a neural‑network‑based framework for estimating causal effects applicable to both discrete and continuous treatments.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 17
Causal Inference for Sequential Settings under Interference and Latent Confounding
arXiv:2607. 14940v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study causal inference under outcome interference for sequential, observational settings.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11
Point-Identification of a Robust Predictor Under Latent Shift with Imperfect Proxies
arXiv:2603. 15158v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Addressing the domain adaptation problem becomes more challenging when distribution shifts across domains stem from latent confounders that affect both covariates and outcomes.
arXiv Statistics ML
1d ago
Causal Inference in Possibly Nonlinear Factor Models
The paper introduces a causal inference method for treatment effect models where confounders are measured noisily. It leverages many noisy proxies linked to latent confounders through an unknown, possibly nonlinear factor structure, using a local principal subspace approximation that combines K‑nearest‑neighbor matching and principal component analysis. The authors construct doubly‑robust estimators for various causal parameters, establish their large‑sample properties, and provide uniformly consistent estimators of the conditional average treatment effect, illustrated with an empirical study on political connections and stock returns and a Monte Carlo experiment.
arXiv AI
Jun 17
FoundCause: Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders from Observational Data
arXiv:2606. 17516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the need to recover directed structure and latent confounding without interventions.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14
The Spectral Structure of Latent Treatment Effects
arXiv:2607. 10926v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Identifying heterogeneous treatment effects under unobserved confounding is central in observational causal inference.