arXiv:2609.40051v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Estimating causal effects from observational data is central to science and policy, but the effects are not identified when confounders are unmeasured....
By Yonghan Jung
arXiv:2607. 14940v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study causal inference under outcome interference for sequential, observational settings.
By Phevos Paschalidis, Constantinos Daskalakis, Devavrat Shah
The paper introduces a causal inference method for treatment effect models where confounders are measured noisily. It leverages many noisy proxies linked to latent confounders through an unknown, possibly nonlinear factor structure, using a local principal subspace approximation that combines K‑nearest‑neighbor matching and principal component analysis. The authors construct doubly‑robust estimators for various causal parameters, establish their large‑sample properties, and provide uniformly consistent estimators of the conditional average treatment effect, illustrated with an empirical study on political connections and stock returns and a Monte Carlo experiment.
By Yingjie Feng
arXiv:2609.22383v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Instrumental variable (IV) methods address treatment endogeneity, but with non-compliance and heterogeneous treatment effects a binary instrument gen...
By Zixuan Yao, Guosheng Yin
arXiv:2401. 04890v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This work introduces a novel principle for disentanglement we call mechanism sparsity regularization, which applies when the latent factors of interest depend sparsely on observed auxiliary variables and/or past latent factors.
By S\'ebastien Lachapelle, Pau Rodr\'iguez L\'opez, Yash Sharma, Katie Everett, R\'emi Le Priol, Alexandre Lacoste, Simon Lacoste-Julien
The paper introduces a mixture‑learning framework for causal inference with unobserved confounding, treating latent confounders as sources of heterogeneity that create mixture structures in observed data. By assuming suitable structural and identifiability conditions, it shows that recovering the mixing distribution and component mechanisms allows estimation of interventional distributions and causal estimands. The authors illustrate the approach with Bernoulli mixture examples, extend it to high‑dimensional exponential‑family mixtures with dependent outcomes, and relate it to panel‑data settings, latent factor models, and synthetic interventions.
By Mansi Sood, Devavrat Shah