arXiv Computation and Language By Juliette Woodrow, Chris Piech

PromptNCE: Conditional Probabilities and PMI Using Only LLMs and Contrastive Estimation Prompts

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The paper introduces PromptNCE, a zero‑shot method that uses large language models to estimate pointwise mutual information (PMI) by framing conditional probability estimation as a contrastive task with an explicit OTHER category. The authors benchmark PromptNCE against four other prompting‑based estimators on three human‑annotated datasets, finding that PromptNCE achieves the best conditional probability estimates and Spearman correlations up to 0.78 for full PMI. A case study demonstrates the method’s utility for scoring student knowledge summaries in low‑data settings, and the authors release code and prompts for reproducibility.

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