arXiv Machine Learning By Xiyue Jiang, Zihan Ding, Grace Han, Yinan Liu, Richard N. Rosenthal, Fusheng Wang

Patient-Reported Survey Data Improve Prediction of Opioid Use Disorder

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The study examined whether adding patient‑reported survey data to electronic health records (EHRs) improves the prediction of a first opioid use disorder (OUD) diagnosis. Using 267,747 All of Us participants, the authors compared EHR‑only models to EHR+survey models across multiple machine‑learning algorithms and look‑back windows. Survey augmentation consistently increased predictive performance, with the best 24‑month LightGBM model’s PR‑AUC rising from 0.6219 to 0.6603, and survey features ranked as the second most important information domain.

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