arXiv:2602. 22432v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Gradient-boosted decision trees are among the strongest off-the-shelf predictors for tabular regression, but point predictions alone do not quantify uncertainty.
By Vagner Santos, Victor Coscrato, Luben Cabezas, Rafael Izbicki, Thiago Ramos
arXiv:2601. 21455v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conformal prediction(CP) has become a cornerstone of distribution-free uncertainty quantification, conventionally evaluated by its coverage and interval length.
By Yizhou Min, Yizhou Lu, Lanqi Li, Zhen Zhang, Jiaye Teng
arXiv:2606. 09473v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Probabilistic forecasters are increasingly learned, yet the baselines they are compared against are often weak or omitted.
By Valery Manokhin
arXiv:2606. 00690v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Sequential conformal prediction (CP) provides valid uncertainty quantification under the assumption of residual exchangeability.
By Enver Menadjiev, Jihyeon Seong, Jisu Yeo, Jaesik Choi
arXiv:2508. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) is well-suited for uncertainty quantification in time series forecasting due to its distribution-free coverage guarantees.
By Ruipu Li, Daniel Menacho, Alexander Rodr\'iguez
arXiv:2505. 08784v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: As machine learning (ML) enters high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for safety.
By Abhineet Agarwal, Fange Xiao, Rebecca Barter, Omer Ronen, Boyu Fan, Bin Yu