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The paper studies distributionally robust ranking and selection (DRR&S), where the goal is to identify the best alternative under input uncertainty by considering multiple plausible input distributions. It introduces the concept of sequential additivity, showing that efficient sampling should focus on a small, additive set of critical scenarios rather than a multiplicative number. The authors prove an algorithm‑independent lower bound on sampling, design an additive allocation (AA) procedure that meets this bound and achieves exponentially decreasing error probability, and extend the approach to a general additive allocation (GAA) framework that incorporates traditional R&S sampling rules.
arXiv:2606. 07841v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Black-box variational inference (BBVI) is a methodology for posterior approximation that relies on stochastic optimization.
The paper introduces OSCAR, an LLM‑based framework that translates business descriptions into accurate optimization models while verifying and improving them through a simulator, coder, and reviewer. OSCAR uses a cost‑ordered escalation strategy to select among LLMs of varying price and capability, achieving 95–100% accuracy on benchmark problems with local, open‑weight models. The framework also provides competitive guarantees and token‑cost advantages over existing LLMs like Codex and Claude Code.
arXiv:2605. 20145v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Gaussian process (GP) predictive distributions are commonly used in Bayesian optimization (BO) to guide the selection of evaluation points for expensive objective functions.
arXiv:2603.12507v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We consider minimising a spectral risk objective, the expected cost plus a weighted conditional value-at-risk, when the distribution of the uncerta...
arXiv:2610.07485v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study estimating rare-event probabilities $I = \mathbb{P}(g(\mathbf{X}) > \gamma)$ with $\mathbf{X} \sim \mathcal{N}(\boldsymbol{\mu}, \boldsymbol{\...