arXiv:2605. 22873v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning has become the default strategy for enhancing LLM capabilities, yet its application raises a fundamental question: when is explicit reasoning actually beneficial?
By Wei Xia, Haoqing Wang, Zhi-Hong Deng, Yehui Tang
arXiv:2604. 27540v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Scientific reasoning rarely stops at what is directly observable; it often requires uncovering hidden structure from data.
By Chaemin Jang, Woojin Park, Hyeok Yun, Dongman Lee, Jihee Kim
arXiv:2607. 08046v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models fine-tuned for forecasting can be accurate yet poorly calibrated, and their chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning may not faithfully reflect the evidence behind a forecast.
By Rapha\"el Sarfati, Pratyush Ranjan Tiwari, Siddharth Boppana, Christopher J. Earls, Srikar Varadaraj, Eric Ho
arXiv:2608. 03031v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series forecasting is fundamental to decision-making in complex systems, where future dynamics are influenced not only by historical observations but also by evolving contextual features.
By Xiaoyu Tao, Mingyue Cheng, Bokai Pan, Chuang Jiang, Huanjian Zhang, Tian Gao, Yaguo Liu, Qi Liu, Enhong Chen
Large language models fine-tuned for forecasting can be accurate yet poorly calibrated, and their chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning may not faithfully reflect the evidence behind a forecast. We ask whether internal representations offer a more direct window into both.
arXiv:2509. 11575v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series reasoning treats time as a first-class axis and incorporates intermediate evidence directly into the answer.
By Ching Chang, Yidan Shi, Defu Cao, Wei Yang, Jeehyun Hwang, Haixin Wang, Jiacheng Pang, Wei Wang, Yan Liu, Wen-Chih Peng, Tien-Fu Chen