arXiv AI

Identifying ODEs from Unstructured Data with Causal Representation Learning

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Causal Local States: Scalable Simultaneous Causal Network Inference and Forecasting for Dynamical Systems

The paper introduces Causal Local States (CLS), a framework that simultaneously infers an approximate Granger‑causal interaction network and forecasts the dynamics of a system. CLS selects, for each node, the smallest set of neighbors that enables near‑optimal prediction, and then combines these local neighborhoods to forecast the entire system. Experiments on three increasingly difficult benchmarks show that CLS reconstructs the underlying networks with high fidelity and achieves forecast accuracy comparable to a model that uses the true network.

By Jonas Braun, Fabian Fischbach, Daniel K\"oglmayr, Sebastian Baur, Christoph R\"ath