The paper introduces μs’ autotune, an automatic tuning strategy for the Lasso that optimizes a penalized Gaussian log‑likelihood over regression coefficients and noise standard deviation. Extensive simulations on regression and VAR models show that autotune is faster and yields better generalization and model selection, especially in low signal‑to‑noise regimes. The method also delivers a new noise‑standard‑deviation estimator, a visual diagnostic for sparsity, and is demonstrated on a real‑world financial dataset, with an accompanying R package available on GitHub.
By Tathagata Sadhukhan, Ines Wilms, Stephan Smeekes, Sumanta Basu
The paper discusses the limitations of LASSO in high‑dimensional regression models when cointegrated regressors are present, noting that the convex penalty can overly shrink their coefficients and lead to inconsistent estimation. It proposes using folded concave penalties (FCP), such as SCAD and MCP, to overcome this issue, establishing both local and global oracle properties for the penalized regression. Simulation results and an application to euro area unemployment forecasting demonstrate that FCP improves variable selection and out‑of‑sample prediction compared to LASSO.
By Hongqi Chen, Chengwang Liao, Ziwei Mei, Zhentao Shi
arXiv:2605.18147v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Predictive models are central to credit risk management, where the accuracy of default-probability and loss estimates affects the profitability of...
By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke
arXiv:1907.06994v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Mixtures of experts (MoE) are conditional mixture models in which both the mixing proportions and the component densities depend on the predi...
By Thin Nguyen-Van, Faicel Chamroukhi, Ha Hoang Van, Bao Tuyen Huynh
arXiv:2610.19351v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: In many modern applications, obtaining response variables is costly, time-consuming, or technically challenging, making it impractical to measure out...
By Yundi Kong, Min Yang, Ping-Shou Zhong
SelectArena is a new benchmark for feature selection on real-world tabular data, evaluating 15 popular methods across 71 curated datasets for both classification and regression tasks. The study uses standardized protocols and modern foundation models, revealing trade-offs among predictive performance, runtime, stability, and validity. Tree-based methods (CART, RFImportance) and the F-Test emerge as Pareto-optimal choices, while search-based methods perform poorly in speed and stability.
By Bastian Sch\"afer, Dominika Matus, Lennart Purucker, Ricardo Knauer, Erik Rodner, Frank Hutter, Anton Sokolov, Arnaud Liefooghe