Is the Future Predictable? Modeling Future Predictability for Reliable Temporal Reasoning
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arXiv:2602. 03164v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time series forecasting (TSF) plays a critical role in decision-making for many real-world applications.
arXiv:2606. 11445v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trust in an AI system is often anchored by explanations of how it works, which one then uses to forecast its behavior on new inputs.
arXiv:2606. 27199v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Successful forecasting involves identifying patterns between historical and future states of the world which generalize to future observations.
arXiv:2607. 11327v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Model editing keeps large language models (LLMs) up to date without retraining, but temporal facts expose a limitation of the prevailing locate-and-edit paradigm: an update is not always a replacement.
arXiv:2607. 25554v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Future event prediction carries broad social impact yet remains challenging.
arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...