arXiv Machine Learning By Ali Banaei, Muhammad Shahab Shahzad, Gerald Q. Maguire Jr., Marco Chiesa, Dejan Kosti\'c

From Training Exposure to Membership Evidence: A Controlled Study of OLMo 2

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The study re‑runs the OLMo 2 1B language model with controlled training exposure, swapping selected training chunks with matched documents to assess membership inference. Using a counterfactual run from the same seed, the authors find that a single exposure modestly increases a document’s likelihood but rarely allows reliable identification; the reference‑ratio method achieves an AUC of 0.767 and detects 3.8 % of members at a 1 % false‑positive rate. Even with matched references, document‑level variability limits individual inference, and the authors plan to release checkpoints, log‑probabilities, and evaluation data.

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