arXiv Machine Learning By Zeyu Liu, Xuanzhi Feng, Haoran Xu, Lai Sing Kwong, Yang Li, Hualei Zhang, Hao Chen, Jie Zhang, Xiaoyi Pang, Song Guo

Foresee to Trade: Forecast-Augmented Policy Optimization for Portfolio Management

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The paper introduces Forecast-Augmented Relative Policy Optimization (FRPO), a method that enhances portfolio management by jointly supervising asset opportunities and account-level trading decisions. FRPO employs a Financial State Head to learn future relative-return targets and a Same-Path Group-Relative Optimization to compare trading trajectories, with an Adaptive Gate coordinating auxiliary supervision. Experiments on DJIA30, TOPIX Core30, and three investment-style portfolios show that FRPO outperforms competing methods in mean cumulative and annualized returns across all settings.

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