AFDBench is a new benchmark that evaluates how well large language models can generate professional Area Forecast Discussions (AFDs) for the National Weather Service by reasoning through structured AI weather forecast data. It contains 7,732 expert-written discussions paired with real forecast inputs and introduces three metrics—Met-Align, Style-Align, and Input-Grounding—to assess numerical accuracy, professional dialect adherence, and fidelity to source data. Zero-shot tests show open-source LLMs perform poorly on style and grounding, but reinforcement learning with Group Relative Policy Optimization nearly doubles style alignment and improves grounding, enabling a 7B-parameter model to write like a professional meteorologist.
By Manmeet Singh, Somnath Luitel, Prabhjot Singh, Manraaj Banga, Naveen Sudharsan, Josh Durkee
arXiv:2607. 03501v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Copernicus, the European Union's Earth observation program, produces petabytes of Earth observation and climate data, offering immense potential for research, policy, and applications.
By Yi Zhang, Farhad Nooralahzadeh, Jonathan F\"urst, Fabio Scherrer, Antonis Bezes, Vassiliki Kotroni, Kurt Stockinger
WeatherNext 3 is a new AI‑driven global weather model that improves both spatial and temporal resolution by generating hourly forecasts at 0.1° resolution, matching the best physics‑based models. It incorporates low‑latency geostationary satellite data and learns to predict satellite‑derived precipitation, tropical cyclones, and station observations, enabling 2 m temperature and dewpoint predictions anywhere and anytime. By directly using raw observations instead of relying solely on analysis data, WeatherNext 3 sets a new state‑of‑the‑art for probabilistic medium‑range forecasting skill.
By Stephan Rasp, Boris Babenko, Dominic Masters, Andrew El-Kadi, Samier Merchant, Guy Shalev, Ilan Price, Fred Zyda, Remi Lam, Sasha Shysheya, Matthew Willson, Stratis Markou, Shreya Agrawal, Suhani Vora, Mohammed Alewi Hassen, Sunny Mak, Tom R. Andersson, Megan Bela, Akib Uddin, Nofar Peled Levi, Ben Gaiarin, Ferran Alet, Aaron Bell, Peter Battaglia, Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez
arXiv:2610.14624v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Interpreting Earth system conditions is central to understanding environmental risks and informing decisions across weather- and climate-sensitive se...
By Fadillah Adamsyah Maani, Numan Saeed, Jiaqi Ma, Dat Tien Nguyen, Youssef Wehbe, Duncan Watson-Parris, Salman Khan
arXiv:2603. 11479v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time Series Event Detection (TSED) aims to localize semantically meaningful events in time series data, with critical applications in high-stakes domains.
By Sky Chenwei Wan, Yifei Y. Wang, Tianjun Hou, Xiqing Chang, Aymeric Jan
arXiv:2608. 20117v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The emergence of large-scale Weather and Climate (W&C) datasets offers new opportunities for modeling extreme Earth events (ExEE) and their impacts using deep learning.
By Hugo Porta, Emanuele Dalsasso, Chang Xu, Theo Gnassounou, Devis Tuia