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Europe's Climate Ambition Under Scrutiny: Evidence from Deep Learning Emission Projections

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The paper uses deep learning on high‑resolution socioeconomic and sectoral data to project EU27 CO₂ emissions through 2030. It finds that emissions will exceed the EU’s 55% reduction target by 35% (620 Mt CO₂ shortfall), with only a few countries on track. While the power sector is on target thanks to renewables, mobility remains a major source of emissions, indicating structural inertia across member states.

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Europe's Climate Ambition Under Scrutiny: Evidence from Deep Learning Emission Projections

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