arXiv:2609.23686v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Patch-based autoregressive time-series forecasting often ties input representation, learned transitions, and recursive execution to one patch length. W...
By Ziang Li, Yue Huang, Guoxu Zhou, Na Han, Jie Wen, Lunke Fei, Xiaozhao Fang
RATL is a plug‑in method for multivariate time‑series forecasting that uses a frozen base forecaster to build a memory of its historical forecast residuals. During inference, RATL retrieves residual trajectories from similar past contexts and employs a set‑aware router to combine them, providing learned feedback correction. Experiments demonstrate that this residual‑retrieval approach improves the performance of the base forecaster across various benchmarks and backbones.
By Yuchen He, Yueyang Cang, Zhiyuan Ning, Ningyu Wang, Li Shi
arXiv:2610.07834v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Retrieval-augmented time-series forecasting uses the continuations of historical segments similar to the current context as references for a forecaster...
By Chao He, Jianyu Xu, Xinyi Guo, Ruiqi Liu, Haobin Ding, Ruiqi He, Dongqing Song
arXiv:2609.23701v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Probabilistic forecasting requires accurate central predictions and calibrated uncertainty estimates. This paper presents TEMPER, the Temporal Encode...
By Giancarlo Vercellino
arXiv:2606. 01339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Long-term time-series forecasting needs models that are accurate yet efficient enough for commodity hardware.
By Mirza Samad Ahmed Baiga, Syeda Anshrah Gillani
SACQ introduces a structured prediction head for long‑horizon time‑series forecasting that replaces the traditional flatten readout. It uses a two‑stage decoding process: a coarse patch‑grid scaffold is first generated, then each future position is refined via cross‑attention over historical memory, with a learned gate merging the corrections. A batch‑adaptive scaled log‑cosh loss further stabilizes training under long horizons and noisy labels, leading to superior MSE/MAE performance across multiple backbones with minimal overhead.
By Guo Cheng, Zhengzhuo Xu, Chenchen Jing, Jingyi Hou