arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 25

Model-Agnostic Covariate-Assisted Inference on Partially Identified Causal Effects

The paper introduces a model‑agnostic inference framework for partially identified causal effects that leverages covariate information without requiring discrete covariates or accurate conditional distribution estimates. Using duality theory for optimal transport, the method delivers uniformly valid inference in randomized experiments, is doubly robust in observational settings, achieves asymptotic unbiasedness when nuisance parameters converge semiparametrically, and allows multiplier‑bootstrap selection of covariates and models while remaining computationally efficient. Empirical applications show the approach consistently narrows identified sets and confidence intervals without imposing extra structural assumptions.

By Wenlong Ji, Lihua Lei, Asher Spector
arXiv Statistics ML
Sep 4

Distributional Treatment Effect Transportability across Heterogeneous Sites

The paper investigates how to transport the full distribution of treatment effects from a source site to a target site in a cross‑site, one‑armed design where only control units are observed in the target. It proposes learning a transformation between sites via optimal transport on control samples, then applying this transformation to the source treated sample to generate a synthetic target treated distribution. The authors prove convergence of this synthetic distribution to the true target distribution and validate the method with simulations and a patient‑derived xenograft data application.

By Borna Bateni, Yubai Yuan, Qi Xu, Annie Qu