arXiv Statistics ML
Sep 1

Elements of Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2603.23923v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Predictive inference is a fundamental task in statistics, traditionally addressed using parametric assumptions about the data distribution an...

By Matteo Sesia, Stefano Favaro
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

Conformalized Regression for Continuous Bounded Outcomes

arXiv:2507. 14023v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Regression problems with bounded continuous outcomes frequently arise in statistical and machine learning applications, such as the analysis of rates and proportions.

By Zhanli Wu, Fabrizio Leisen, F. Javier Rubio
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

Benchmarking non-conformity score functions in conformal prediction

Conformal prediction replaces single-class predictions with prediction sets that guarantee a pre-specified coverage probability. The paper reviews properties of non‑conformity score functions, presents examples from the literature, and proposes new modifications. It introduces a method to evaluate prediction set sizes and compares different score functions, including their effectiveness for class‑conditional conformal prediction with imbalanced classes.

By Sol Erika Boman