arXiv:2606. 17591v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Training-free verbal reinforcement learning enables LLM agents to learn from world feedback -- objective signals such as dynamic task outcomes, market returns, or demand forecasts -- by extracting verbal rules from experience and injecting them as context, updating the agent's behavior without parameter changes.
By Yanwei Cui, Xing Zhang, Yulong Zhang, Li Shao, Xiaofeng Shi, Guanghui Wang, Peiyang He
arXiv:2606. 11816v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecasting real-world events requires language-model agents to reason under uncertainty from incomplete, time-bounded information.
By Yizhou Chi, Eric Chamoun, Zifeng Ding, Andreas Vlachos
arXiv:2610.34094v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) generally lack deep causal reasoning capabilities in temporal reasoning. Inspired by document layout reordering, this pape...
By Zhifeng Yang, Wei Luo, Yongjian Chen, Shiqi Ou
The paper introduces a framework that uses large language models (LLMs) to generate natural‑language narratives explaining cross‑sectional stock return predictions. It combines temporal Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) from an XGBoost model with historical regime analogs to provide context. A controlled study shows that progressively externalizing numerical and relational reasoning improves evidence faithfulness and accuracy, while historical analogs boost human‑rated usefulness.
By Sujung Kim, Seung Hwan Cho, Sangjin Park, Young-Min Kim
arXiv:2607. 04293v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Building AI Scientist agents with Large Language Models (LLMs) has recently attracted growing attention.
By Zhenhao Chen, Yongqiang Chen, Chenxi Liu, Junchi Yu, Xiangchen Song, Zijian Li, Jialin Li, Philip Torr, Bo Han, Kun Zhang
ForecastCompass (FoCo) is an adaptive factor-based memory framework designed to enhance agentic forecasting. It structures forecasting experience using a hierarchical task taxonomy and maintains two memory components: factor memory for reusable predictive dimensions and reasoning memory for probability updating, uncertainty handling, and calibration. Through a verbalized memory-revision process guided by retrospective analyses, FoCo iteratively refines its knowledge, leading to improved probabilistic accuracy and calibration in experiments with GPT-5-mini and Gemini-2.5-Flash on Prophet Arena and FutureX.
By Yurui Chang, Yongkang Du, Yuanpu Cao, Jinghui Chen, Lu Lin