arXiv:2606. 04324v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: One of the primary challenges in Bayesian inference on the parameters of a diffusion model from discrete observations is the unavailability of an analytical expression for the transition density function between consecutive observation times, which is needed to derive the likelihood function.
By Riccardo Saporiti, Fabio Nobile
One of the primary challenges in Bayesian inference on the parameters of a diffusion model from discrete observations is the unavailability of an analytical expression for the transition density function between consecutive observation times, which is needed to derive the likelihood function. Extending previous studies that solve Fokker-Planck (FP) type partial differential equations with Normalizing Flows, we propose a new Normalizing Flow architecture to learn the transition density function of the diffusion process between two observation times.
The paper introduces block‑triangular joint drifting, a method that applies a projected drift field to the joint distribution of consecutive states, enabling one‑step generative surrogate models for stochastic transition dynamics. This architecture preserves the current‑state marginal while directly sampling the conditional distribution of next states, allowing stochastic trajectories to be generated with a single model evaluation per time step. Experiments show that the approach achieves accurate marginal and trajectory‑dependent statistics with favorable accuracy‑cost tradeoffs compared to deterministic, diffusion, flow, and distillation‑based generative surrogates.
By Nicholas Geissler, Shreya Jha, Ricardo Baptista, Benjamin Peherstorfer
arXiv:2603. 18907v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a new Neural Galerkin Normalizing Flow framework to approximate the transition probability density function of a diffusion process by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation with an atomic initial distribution, parametrically with respect to the location of the initial mass.
By Riccardo Saporiti, Fabio Nobile
arXiv:2610.01786v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Neural activity often exhibits multiple timescales that can vary with behavioral states and task conditions. Identifying these timescales from neural...
By Lulu Gong, Yongxu Zhang, Shreya Saxena
arXiv:2606. 00309v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics combined with Gibbs updates (SGLD--Gibbs) provides a highly scalable approach to approximate Bayesian inference in latent variable models.
By Xiaoyu Wang, Jonathan H. Huggins