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arXiv:2609.24921v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Scientific weak signals are early, low-visibility research directions that later become central to mature scientific topics, yet existing resources suc...
arXiv:2602. 20459v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Can AI systems trained on the existing scientific record forecast the advances that will follow?
arXiv:2608. 16645v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Can a language model recover the true research idea of a published paper when given only that paper's pre-publication bibliography?
Can a language model recover the true research idea of a published paper when given only that paper's pre-publication bibliography? We introduce Reconstruction, a blind idea-recovery benchmark that withholds the seed paper and all contemporaneous or future literature, and asks models to propose hypotheses that an independent large language model judge matches against the held-out ground-truth idea.
arXiv:2606. 00644v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI research often requires decisions before future evidence exists: which bottleneck to attack, which direction to pursue, or where a project should be positioned.
arXiv:2604. 12243v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Identifying promising research directions in fast-moving subareas is one of the most cognitively expensive tasks in modern AI research.