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Active Sensing and Deferred-Decision Trajectory Optimization for Robust Target Identification

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We study trajectory optimization in mobile sensing systems that must identify which member of a finite candidate set is the true target, while maintaining reachability to all potential candidate targets, under resource constraints. Deferred-Decision Trajectory Optimization (DDTO) addresses this setting by computing trajectories that reach individual targets but remain coincident for as long as possible before separating toward different targets.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 9

Uncertainty-Aware Optimization for Physics-Aware Highway Trajectory Prediction

The paper introduces uncertainty-aware extensions of the X-TRACK physics‑aware trajectory prediction framework, namely X-TRACK-DE and X-TRACK-MCD. These extensions predict future vehicle motion variables while explicitly modeling and propagating both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties through vehicle dynamics, rather than only in trajectory space. Conformal prediction is then applied to the trajectory‑space covariance to create uncertainty regions that achieve a desired marginal coverage level, and experiments on the highD dataset demonstrate improved prediction accuracy and calibrated uncertainty estimates.

By Aanchal Rajesh Chugh, Sebastian Dorn