This study evaluates four control strategies—rule-based, model predictive control (MPC), reinforcement learning without forecasts (RL‑NF), and reinforcement learning with forecasts (RL‑F)—for a renewable‑powered hydrogen supply chain. Using a unified, physically realistic simulation that includes electrolyzer constraints, storage dynamics, and grid limits, the authors find that MPC delivers the best economic performance by leveraging short‑term forecasts, while RL‑NF performs robustly without future information. RL‑F does not consistently outperform RL‑NF, indicating that forecast uncertainty and added state complexity can hinder forecast‑augmented learning.
By Mahammad Valiyev
The thesis presents a domain‑specific automated feature engineering pipeline, AutoEnergy, for energy consumption forecasting. AutoEnergy generates interpretable features from timestamps and lagged consumption, integrates with AutoML, and achieves 19.52%–84.72% error reductions across eighteen real‑world datasets while running 1.31–4.41 times faster than baseline methods. When combined with Decision‑Focused Learning for battery storage, it cuts operating costs by 22.9%–56.5% on a UK property dataset.
By Nasser Alkhulaifi
arXiv:2608. 02088v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable photovoltaic (PV) forecasts are needed for low-carbon energy systems, but newly deployed sites often have short, imperfect records.
By Fariba Dehghan, Sebastian Stein, Vahid Yazdanpanah, Stephanie Gauthier, Masood Nazari
The paper benchmarks a range of AI methods—conventional ML, ensemble learning, deep neural networks, recurrent architectures, Transformers, graph models, and hybrid ensemble deep learning—on three renewable energy datasets, including large‑scale wave energy converter (WEC) data and wind farm SCADA measurements. Tree ensembles, particularly Extra Trees, outperform traditional ML and neural predictors on structured WEC layout data, achieving a 63.7% MAE reduction over an MLP baseline. Spatial‑temporal graph networks (STGCN) and an RF‑BiLSTM hybrid further improve forecasting accuracy, with the hybrid model reaching an MAE of 150.5 kW, a 75% reduction over a standalone LSTM and 10% better than STGCN. The study concludes that no single architecture dominates; randomized ensembles excel for structured surrogate modeling, graph networks for explicit spatial interactions, and hybrid recurrent ensembles for combined nonlinear tabular and temporal dynamics.
arXiv:2511. 09789v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term energy forecasting plays an important role in real-time operational decision-making, such as electricity market bidding and power system dispatch, where both numerical accuracy and correct directional signals are essential.
By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han
The paper introduces IMPACT, a physics‑informed multimodal deep‑learning framework that forecasts photovoltaic power 10–110 minutes ahead with probabilistic outputs. It uses a four‑branch architecture to encode plant‑level temporal history, inverter‑level spatial cloud dynamics, known‑future solar geometry, and current meteorological data, fusing them via gated cross‑attention. The model outperforms 14 baselines, achieving a forecast skill score of 0.2950 and maintaining strong performance under overcast and variable sky conditions.
By Anushka Katiyar, Cong Feng, Jing Wang, Tristan Liu, Simon Julien, Zachary Jacobs