arXiv:2605. 11287v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A persistent paradox in time-series forecasting is that structurally simple MLP and linear models often outperform high-capacity Transformers.
By Jevon Twitty, Vinh Pham, Nitiwith Rotchanarak, Viresh Pati, Yubin Kim, Shihao Yang, Jiecheng Lu
arXiv:2501. 18322v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Transformers, which are state-of-the-art in most machine learning tasks, represent the data as sequences of vectors called tokens.
By Val\'erie Castin, Pierre Ablin, Jos\'e Antonio Carrillo, Gabriel Peyr\'e
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv:2606. 01306v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While Transformer-based architectures have established themselves as a dominant paradigm in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), their core self-attention mechanism inherently functions as a low-pass filter, systematically smoothing out high-frequency signals vital for sharp local changes.
By Peng He, Yao Liu, Yanglei Gan, Run Lin, Yuxiang Cai, Qiao Liu
arXiv:2606. 07291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting requires models to reason over temporal dynamics, cross-variable dependencies, and historical input-output correspondences.
By Tao Chen, Yexu Zhou, Zhi Gong, Hengwei He, Hongda Li, Zhewei Chen, Dongjing Wang, Xin Zhang, Decheng Liu, Chunlei Peng, Zheng Chen, Wenyue Ding
arXiv:2604. 17121v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Transformers encode structure in sequences via an expanding contextual history.
By Michael C. Mozer, Shoaib Ahmed Siddiqui, Rosanne Liu