arXiv:2605. 11287v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A persistent paradox in time-series forecasting is that structurally simple MLP and linear models often outperform high-capacity Transformers.
By Jevon Twitty, Vinh Pham, Nitiwith Rotchanarak, Viresh Pati, Yubin Kim, Shihao Yang, Jiecheng Lu
arXiv:2501. 18322v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Transformers, which are state-of-the-art in most machine learning tasks, represent the data as sequences of vectors called tokens.
By Val\'erie Castin, Pierre Ablin, Jos\'e Antonio Carrillo, Gabriel Peyr\'e
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv:2606. 01306v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While Transformer-based architectures have established themselves as a dominant paradigm in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), their core self-attention mechanism inherently functions as a low-pass filter, systematically smoothing out high-frequency signals vital for sharp local changes.
By Peng He, Yao Liu, Yanglei Gan, Run Lin, Yuxiang Cai, Qiao Liu
SETTer is a transformer-based model designed for long‑term multivariate time‑series forecasting. It introduces decoupled self‑attention and hybrid masking to better handle high dimensionality and complex relationships, while adding explainable structures to highlight discriminative patterns. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that SETTer outperforms state‑of‑the‑art models in 88% of scenarios.
By Abraham Ezema, Chijioke Eze, Ferdinanda Ponci, Antonello Monti
Selective state space models (SSMs) use a recurrence to mix token information, a process analogous to attention in transformers. By modeling token evolution as an ordinary differential equation and applying input‑to‑state stability, the study proves that SSMs exhibit local exponential stability of consensus equilibria and delineates their domain of attraction for time‑varying weight matrices. Experiments on a pretrained Mamba‑2 model reveal that the output gate controls the degree of consensus, preventing tokens from fully converging.
By Jo\~ao Pedro Silvestre, \'Alvaro Rodr\'iguez Abella, Paulo Tabuada