Measuring the metacognition of AI
arXiv:2603. 29693v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A robust decision-making process must take into account uncertainty, especially when the choice involves inherent risks.
arXiv:2603. 29693v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: A robust decision-making process must take into account uncertainty, especially when the choice involves inherent risks.
DualStake introduces a dual-path confidence calibration for deep research agents, adding step confidence elicitation after each retrieval step. The method shows that evidence confidence (E-Conf) after the final retrieval provides a stronger uncertainty signal than answer confidence (A-Conf), and that A-Conf is largely influenced by E-Conf. By applying margin‑clipped, confidence‑dependent stake rewards, DualStake aligns both E-Conf and A-Conf with answer correctness, improving calibration across multiple QA benchmarks without harming accuracy.
arXiv:2502. 20502v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) have yielded powerful computational models that, by learning from vast amounts of human-generated data, are increasingly posited as approximate models of human cognition.
arXiv:2606. 06081v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Appropriate reliance on AI advice has become a central research theme in human-AI collaboration.
The article discusses how artificial intelligence is reshaping measurement in economics by converting unstructured data into structured variables at low cost, enabling large‑scale measurement that was previously infeasible. It outlines three stages—discovery, construct definition, and observation—where AI impacts the measurement pipeline and stresses the importance of rigorous validation to ensure credible inference. The review offers guidance on navigating the shift from a single scalable measure to multiple plausible ones that can lead to differing empirical conclusions.
arXiv:2607. 06656v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine learning models are often intended to augment rather than replace human decision makers, by providing information that is complementary to human judgement.
We (along with researchers from Berkeley and Stanford) are co-authors on today’s paper led by Google Brain researchers, Concrete Problems in AI Safety. The paper explores many research problems around ensuring that modern machine learning systems operate as intended.
arXiv:2602. 16666v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: AI agents are increasingly deployed to execute important tasks.
arXiv:2607. 08285v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Current AI evaluation frameworks focus primarily on technical performance, including accuracy, robustness, reasoning ability, and policy compliance.
AI is advancing fast. We have the chance to shape its progress—toward discovery, safety, and a better future for everyone.
To support the safety of highly-capable AI systems, we are developing our approach to catastrophic risk preparedness, including building a Preparedness team and launching a challenge.
arXiv:2606. 31404v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human swarm intelligence demonstrates remarkable collective accuracy but faces scalability constraints in cost, coordination, and time.