arXiv AI By Krish Matta, Atharv Naphade, Andy Zou

Rethinking Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language Models

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arXiv:2607. 19367v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Calibration is the primary criterion for evaluating LLM confidence, but it is insufficient: it admits trivially incoherent estimators, depends on the evaluation distribution, and does not test the extent to which the estimation can be interpreted as a consistent, underlying probability function.

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