The paper introduces “ℝD_{CF5}”, a probe‑based estimator that predicts the region‑wise gain of a dynamic ensemble over the best static blend in regression tasks under distribution shift. Across 12 benchmark dataset‑shift pairs, the estimator achieves a Spearman correlation of +0.98 with actual test gains, outperforming alternative diagnostics. The authors also present a Probe‑Validated Ensemble Selector that chooses between a static affine stacker and dynamic realizers, demonstrating risk reductions of up to 16% in prospective deployments.
By Tianxin Zhou, Ruixi Lin
A stable compression score can still select the worse model. In our dense study, a split-half reliable path-quadratic score predicted a 16.
ESPO (Error-Structured Prompt Optimization) addresses prompt bloat in evolutionary prompt optimizers by splitting the optimization process into Diagnose, Propose, and Select phases. It clusters training errors into structural patterns, generates diverse candidate prompts through four complementary strategies, and applies bootstrap stability selection. Across seven NLP benchmarks, ESPO improves average accuracy by +3.76 pp over GEPA, produces prompts 47 % shorter, and achieves higher accuracy on four additional student models, with the largest gain on Qwen3 GSM8K.
By Lihao Liu, Peng Tang, Kunwar Yashraj Singh, Shabnam Ghadar
arXiv:2607. 24562v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models serve heterogeneous populations structured by domain, topic difficulty, and linguistic style.
By Murilo Salem, Lu\'isa B\"ohm, Daniel Pontes, Anderson Ferrugem
arXiv:2606. 17649v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The high cost of fine-tuning LLMs poses a significant economic barrier; pre-hoc performance prediction offers a critical solution to substantially reduce this expense.
By Yuxiang Luo, Chen Wang, Nan Tang
arXiv:2608.23601v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: EDA flow parameter tuning is critical for quality-of-results~(QoR), yet the parameter space is large, tightly coupled, and full evaluations are prohi...
By Kunlong Li, Shangshang Yao, Su Zheng, Lingli Wang
arXiv:2608. 03842v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When a language model fails on surface-perturbed input (typos, OCR noise, homophones), "which layer is responsible" has three natural operationalizations: where representations diverge most (sensitivity), where restoring clean activations recovers the prediction (causality), and where a small adapter can repair the damage (compensatory capacity) - and we show these three layer maps dissociate.
By Nathan Labiosa, David Buff, Ena Nayak, Erica Donno
ESPO (Error-Structured Prompt Optimization) addresses prompt bloat in evolutionary prompt optimizers by separating optimization into Diagnose, Propose, and Select phases. It clusters training errors, generates diverse candidates, and applies bootstrap stability selection, achieving a 3.76‑point accuracy gain over GEPA on seven NLP benchmarks while producing 47% shorter prompts. Cross‑model tests on four additional student models confirm ESPO’s superior average accuracy, notably improving Qwen3 GSM8K from 15.00% to 91.40%.
arXiv:2609.25745v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: RandOpt samples weight-perturbed language models and ensembles top-ranked candidates through plurality voting, but its global perturbation scale ignore...
By Kirato Yoshihara, Hiroaki Hamade
arXiv:2606. 21641v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have been proposed as hyperparameter-optimization (HPO) advisors that "warm-start" search from prior knowledge, proposing strong configurations in very few evaluations.
By Carson Rodrigues, Oysturn Vas, Isaiah Abner DCosta, Nithish Kumar Prabhakaran
arXiv:2606. 09899v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A central goal of mechanistic interpretability is to identify which internal components causally drive a language model's behavior.
By Luyang Zhang, Jialu Wang
arXiv:2502. 11034v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Loss spikes remain a persistent obstacle in large-scale language model pretraining.
By Guoxia Wang, Shuai Li, Congliang Chen, Jinle Zeng, Jiabin Yang, Dianhai Yu, Yanjun Ma, Li Shen