arXiv:2605. 11287v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A persistent paradox in time-series forecasting is that structurally simple MLP and linear models often outperform high-capacity Transformers.
arXiv:2608. 01885v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While deep learning models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in time series anomaly detection, their complex architectures incur substantial inference overhead.
While deep learning models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in time series anomaly detection, their complex architectures incur substantial inference overhead. Existing methods typically apply a uniform inference strategy across all data points, which is inefficient given that anomalies are inherently scarce and the vast majority of temporal data consists of predictable normal patterns.
arXiv:2602. 16224v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series data are prone to noise in various domains, and training samples may contain low-predictability patterns that deviate from the normal data distribution, leading to training instability or convergence to poor local minima.
Deep learning methods have achieved state-of-the-art in time series forecasting, yet their accuracy varies considerably across samples, as some instances remain inherently difficult to predict. Reject option mechanisms, which allow models to abstain from high-risk predictions, are well established in classification and regression but underexplored in forecasting.
arXiv:2410. 07299v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce OTIS, an open time series encoder that yields high-quality time series features for downstream deployment on any system, including resource-constrained wearables and industrial sensors.
arXiv:2510. 05589v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Effective time series forecasting enables various real-world applications, benefiting from the proliferation of mobile devices.
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
The paper introduces a framework for aligning the inductive bias of linear time‑invariant State Space Models (SSMs) with task‑specific spectral characteristics. By formalizing the bias through an SSM‑induced kernel and showing its spectrum is governed by the model’s frequency response, the authors propose Task‑Dependent Initialization (TDI), a fast power‑spectrum matching method. Experiments on synthetic data, one‑layer SSMs, and deep SSMs across real‑world benchmarks demonstrate that TDI improves data‑efficient generalization when the task’s spectral structure differs from the default SSM bias.
arXiv:2509. 18751v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recently reconstruction-based deep models have been widely used for time series anomaly detection, but as their capacity and generalization capability increase, these models tend to over-generalize, often reconstructing unseen anomalies accurately.
arXiv:2607. 00720v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Despite the increasing sophistication of industrial AI systems, the ability to reliably detect subtle and noisy anomalies in complex time series data remains a critical yet unresolved challenge.
arXiv:2607. 07500v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series classification (TSC) is dominated by a two-stage paradigm: train a feature encoder -- either from scratch on the target dataset or via pretraining on large corpora -- and then fit a task-specific classifier on top.