arXiv AI

Reliability Scales Inversely: Hallucinations Snowball Faster in Bigger Language Models

arXiv:2607. 18292v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Bigger language models are less reliable.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

Chain-of-Thought Entropy as a Reliability Signal: A Preregistered Reproduction

This study independently reproduces the dissociation reported by Zhao (2026) regarding chain-of-thought entropy in large language models. It confirms that the shape of the entropy trajectory predicts answer correctness, while the total entropy drop magnitude does not, across four open-weight models and two benchmarks (GSM8K and MATH‑500). The reproduction also maps settings where the magnitude signal holds or fails and documents protocol differences not reported in the original work.

By Theodore O. Cochran
arXiv AI
Aug 26

Feedback That Backfires: Why Small Language Model Agents Repeat the Call They Just Watched Fail

The study investigates why small language model agents tend to repeat a tool call that just failed. By recording the failed call and its error message in the transcript, the authors measure a negative corrective gain—agents are more likely to repeat the failed action, with a drop of about 1.03 nats per token. The problem is traced to the harness design rather than the model’s understanding of errors, and the authors show that replacing the verbatim call with a runtime-generated description of the failure can reduce this backfiring effect by 76%.

By Esmail Gumaan
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 17

Playing log(N)-Questions over Wikipedia Abstracts: Communication Efficiency Between Paired Frontier Models

The study evaluates six frontier language models on a two‑agent <log(N)>‑Questions game using Wikipedia lead paragraphs. In each game a questioner must identify a target paragraph with exactly <log2 N> yes/no questions, while an answerer only sees the target and the question and replies with a single word. Across 408 games, the models perform similarly, with Claude Opus 5 winning 28 of 68 games and the top five models showing only marginal differences; win rates decline sharply with larger document sets, following a reliability parameter of 0.928 per question. "whyItMatters":"The results reveal how well language models can communicate under information asymmetry, highlighting that even top models struggle to extract a full bit per question and that reasoning token usage does not strongly predict success."

By Peter Potash