Reliability Scales Inversely: Bigger Language Models Compound Mistakes Faster
arXiv:2607. 18292v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As language models scale, answers start truer but degrade faster: scaling buys capability but erodes reliability.
arXiv:2607. 18292v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Bigger language models are less reliable.
arXiv:2607. 18292v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As language models scale, answers start truer but degrade faster: scaling buys capability but erodes reliability.
arXiv:2607. 18292v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As language models scale, answers start truer but degrade faster: scaling buys capability but erodes reliability.
arXiv:2608. 15798v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Language models are compared by their held-out per-token cross-entropy risk---the quantity scaling laws are fitted to.
This study independently reproduces the dissociation reported by Zhao (2026) regarding chain-of-thought entropy in large language models. It confirms that the shape of the entropy trajectory predicts answer correctness, while the total entropy drop magnitude does not, across four open-weight models and two benchmarks (GSM8K and MATH‑500). The reproduction also maps settings where the magnitude signal holds or fails and documents protocol differences not reported in the original work.
arXiv:2610.00694v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Compression reports summarize how far a compressed language model moved from the dense one, usually by a KL divergence; a deployment that relies on t...
This empirical study is an independent reproduction of the dissociation Zhao reported in 2026. The shape of a large language model's chain-of-thought entropy trajectory predicts whether the final answ...
The study investigates why small language model agents tend to repeat a tool call that just failed. By recording the failed call and its error message in the transcript, the authors measure a negative corrective gain—agents are more likely to repeat the failed action, with a drop of about 1.03 nats per token. The problem is traced to the harness design rather than the model’s understanding of errors, and the authors show that replacing the verbatim call with a runtime-generated description of the failure can reduce this backfiring effect by 76%.
arXiv:2607. 08059v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Uncertainty quantification for visual language models (VLMs) conventionally targets the answer token distribution.
arXiv:2606. 09046v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Useful audits reveal not only how often a model fails, but also where its failures concentrate.
arXiv:2609.35860v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Sampling based consistency is widely used for hallucination detection, yet aggregate performance can conceal systematic differences in which errors a...
arXiv:2608. 14588v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Sequential multi-agent LLM pipelines chain specialized agents without verification at handoffs, creating a structural flaw with measurable and severe consequences.
The study evaluates six frontier language models on a two‑agent <log(N)>‑Questions game using Wikipedia lead paragraphs. In each game a questioner must identify a target paragraph with exactly <log2 N> yes/no questions, while an answerer only sees the target and the question and replies with a single word. Across 408 games, the models perform similarly, with Claude Opus 5 winning 28 of 68 games and the top five models showing only marginal differences; win rates decline sharply with larger document sets, following a reliability parameter of 0.928 per question. "whyItMatters":"The results reveal how well language models can communicate under information asymmetry, highlighting that even top models struggle to extract a full bit per question and that reasoning token usage does not strongly predict success."