arXiv Machine Learning

Loading history and window geometry bound compact-state slip ranking during granular shear startup

The study investigates granular slip forecasting by separating material state, loading progress, and window geometry effects using a compact neural score based on stress, pressure, coordination, non-affine motion, and force-network observables. Trained on 36 shear trajectories and tested on 18 new ones, the model ranked near‑slip windows better than prevalence or phase controls, yet loading‑history coordinates (e.g., causal elapsed strain) outperformed the compact score. The findings show that while compact observables contain temporally aligned slip information, stronger loading‑history baselines and geometry sensitivity limit the identification of a state‑specific short‑horizon precursor.

arXiv AI
Aug 25

Event-Conditioned Diagnostics of Kinematic, Contact, and Object-Permanence Structure in Passive Object-State World Models

The paper introduces a diagnostic protocol to examine how passive object-state world models encode event-conditioned latent physical structure. It evaluates GRU, Transformer-lite, and RSSM-lite models on a dataset featuring free motion, collision, and occlusion events, finding that each architecture learns predictive dynamics and that event context shifts the emphasis among kinematic, contact, and object-permanence readouts. Functional sensitivity tests reveal contact-related structure during collisions and object-permanence structure during occlusions, supporting the presence of event-conditioned latent structure without explicit physical modules.

By Yang Liu, Yuming Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

Mechanism-Aware Ensemble Conditioning for Data-Limited Emulation of Extreme Events

The paper introduces a mechanism‑aware conditioning framework that uses a nudged coarse ensemble to capture local instability geometry in chaotic systems. By injecting ensemble covariance statistics via a small FiLM module, the authors enhance rare‑event emulation in both a low‑dimensional chaotic benchmark and a quasi‑geostrophic flow model, achieving significant improvements in exceedance‑frequency and tail‑density errors with limited data. The approach demonstrates that local instability information can be leveraged as a practical conditioning signal for data‑efficient emulation of extreme events.

By Isabella S. Thiel, Juan Bello-Rivas, Yannis G. Kevrekidis, Themistoklis P. Sapsis
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 10

Sparse probes and murky physics: a case study of interpretability challenges in a foundation model for continuum dynamics

Generative AI emulators are increasingly used in scientific domains where we already have strong theory, benchmarks, and physical intuition. This raises a central evaluation and interpretability question: when a foundation-style model can reproduce known continuum dynamics, what internal mechanism supports that behavior, is the internal behaviour consistent with known physics, and how does it relate to where the emulator succeeds or fails?

arXiv AI
Jul 21

First-Order Predictable but Pairwise Fragile: Local Task Adaptation in Trained Transformers

arXiv:2607. 16821v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Task arithmetic, sequential fine-tuning, activation steering, and first-order random search all operate through relatively small perturbations around an already trained checkpoint, and they rely on different local approximations: individual perturbations should be first-order predictable, task updates should compose with controlled interference, useful tangent structure should be stable and possible to estimate, and weight edits should have counterparts in representation space.

By Irina Piontkovskaia, Sergey Nikolenko